Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 160.693236 190.259886 226.556399 275.386440 340.989078 4.286589e+02 559.559829
2024-12-22 118.294673 150.550675 194.864232 263.223358 372.419973 5.540279e+02 918.958679
2024-12-29 103.142921 137.912589 189.635037 278.148493 441.331675 7.740291e+02 1703.847827
2025-01-05 88.000723 121.156760 172.914474 267.532327 459.820091 9.165050e+02 2629.448260
2025-01-12 79.243144 112.055515 165.625817 269.999508 504.240377 1.163456e+03 4835.583148
2025-01-19 71.286642 102.785091 155.941879 264.664623 528.836578 1.390962e+03 8799.338267
2025-01-26 69.004204 102.289186 161.216350 290.825849 647.904631 2.161775e+03 43861.907344
2025-02-02 68.671508 104.938638 172.680455 334.896551 858.690549 4.154087e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 63.757164 98.755632 165.729662 332.612140 915.902189 5.552810e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 60.241304 94.674184 162.317990 338.472367 1013.569682 8.369854e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 57.201297 91.108483 159.368669 344.774256 1124.137245 1.356004e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 54.157063 87.195747 155.043480 345.890888 1215.374797 2.211502e+04 NaN
2025-03-09 50.950171 83.060206 150.544689 348.431929 1345.309608 4.849933e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 46.864062 76.855214 140.592982 331.341535 1342.864793 7.742078e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 45.355721 75.611563 141.934024 352.239989 1653.200711 1.848766e+06 NaN
2025-03-30 42.223787 70.732527 133.804780 337.358243 1660.543507 5.744366e+08 NaN
2025-04-06 40.291159 68.145405 130.911588 340.808560 1855.264034 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 38.078880 64.770629 125.579057 333.354049 1935.043911 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 37.824971 65.502075 130.791494 370.129606 2702.269831 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 38.249676 67.741959 140.472786 433.299742 4552.048227 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 36.554150 65.101421 136.292372 429.988660 5034.329129 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 35.320602 63.400253 134.540112 438.490534 6074.578768 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 34.192095 61.842012 132.978274 447.662018 7452.355191 NaN NaN